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Convergence Analysis

What Convergence Analysis does

Convergence Analysis is a U.S.-based nonprofit research and policy organization focused on AI existential-risk strategy, transformative-AI scenario planning, and governance recommendations. Its mission is to “design a safe and flourishing future for humanity in a world with transformative AI,” with work organized around (1) scenario research to model plausible trajectories and risks, (2) governance research to develop concrete policy recommendations aimed at mitigating catastrophic outcomes, and (3) AI awareness efforts intended to inform policymakers and the broader public.

Institutionally, Convergence positions itself as a “foundational series of sociotechnical reports” on key AI scenarios and governance recommendations, aiming to influence decision-making by grantmakers, policymakers, and the AI safety community.

Strategically, the organization has emphasized governance implementation details—e.g., work on model registries, AI chip registration policies, and emergency preparedness—alongside broader framing and field-building initiatives such as Threshold 2030 (co-hosted with Metaculus and the Future of Life Institute).

News

Company record

Aug 27, 2026 · Official · Convergence Analysis websiteThe AI Readiness Objectives (AROs)

Convergence published a framework proposing seven AI readiness objectives and argues governments that achieve adequacy across these areas will be sufficiently prepared to securely harness powerful AI systems.

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Oct 28, 2025 · Official · Convergence Analysis websiteConvergence Fellowship Program: Meeting the AI Workforce Challenge

A policy brief proposing a roadmap for federal and youth-focused local actions to prepare for AI-driven workforce transformation, framed around equity and sustainable development.

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Sep 12, 2025 · Official · Convergence Analysis websiteConvergence Fellowship Program: Toward ASI Stability (Treaty Framework for U.S.–China Cooperation)

A project exploring a phased, enforceable treaty concept between the U.S. and China to reduce the risk of a dangerous race toward Artificial Superintelligence.

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Sep 01, 2025 · Official · Convergence Analysis websiteConvergence Fellowship Program: The Iron House (Geopolitical Stakes of the U.S.–China AGI Race)

A project examining how intensifying U.S.–China geopolitical rivalry could shape outcomes ranging from prosperity to catastrophic collapse.

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Jul 08, 2025 · Official · Convergence Analysis websiteConvergence Fellowship Program: Decoding AI Diffusion (AI Diffusion: Mapping the Path of Transformative AI across Industries)

A report introducing a framework for assessing how transformative AI adoption may differ across economic sectors, including factors that accelerate or impede adoption.

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Mar 24, 2025 · Official · Convergence Analysis websiteConvergence 2024 Impact Review

A retrospective describing Convergence’s 2024 outputs and claimed impacts, including publication volume, contributions to regulatory frameworks, and outreach.

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Nov 13, 2024 · Official · Convergence Analysis websiteConference Summary: Threshold 2030 – Modeling AI Economic Futures

A conference report and summary output capturing scenario and modeling work around how AI timelines could affect economic outcomes by 2030.

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May 27, 2024 · Official · Convergence Analysis websiteNew Report: 2024 State of the AI Regulatory Landscape

A report surveying AI regulation in the United States, China, and the EU, contextualizing structures for evaluation, model registries, incident reporting, and related domains.

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Source map · 2 recurring channels · 58 references
Convergence AnalysisOfficial Site · monitor↗MTS Frontier / Control RoomCurated Feed · monitor↗Official organization sourceOfficial Reference · reference↗sec.govRegulatory · reference↗app.dealroom.coReporting · reference↗app.grantmaking.aiReporting · reference↗applyology.comReporting · reference↗applyweb.collegenet.supportReporting · reference↗apps.irs.govReporting · reference↗arxiv.orgReporting · reference↗biobase.whitefordresearch.comReporting · reference↗bioone.orgReporting · reference↗cambrian.orgReporting · reference↗catalogimages.wiley.comReporting · reference↗causeiq.comReporting · reference↗cbinsights.comReporting · reference↗citeseerx.ist.psu.eduReporting · reference↗comcec.orgReporting · reference↗commonapp.orgReporting · reference↗concord.orgReporting · reference↗converge.orgReporting · reference↗convergenceevents.orgReporting · reference↗convergenceinc.comReporting · reference↗convergencepolicy.orgReporting · reference↗crunchbase.comReporting · reference↗digitalcommons.unomaha.eduReporting · reference↗dspacemainprd01.lib.uwaterloo.caReporting · reference↗econstor.euReporting · reference↗embracingourdifferences.orgReporting · reference↗en.wikipedia.orgReporting · reference↗forum.effectivealtruism.orgReporting · reference↗forum.nunosempere.comReporting · reference↗fr.wikipedia.orgReporting · reference↗gatesopenresearch.orgReporting · reference↗gc.cuny.eduReporting · reference↗getxanalysis.netReporting · reference↗groups.csail.mit.eduReporting · reference↗guides.loc.govReporting · reference↗irs.govReporting · reference↗joyful-slides-532925.framer.appReporting · reference↗link.springer.comReporting · reference↗linkedin.comReporting · reference↗ncrp.orgReporting · reference↗netlab.caltech.eduReporting · reference↗netlib.orgReporting · reference↗openreview.netReporting · reference↗portal.findresearcher.sdu.dkReporting · reference↗proceedings.neurips.ccReporting · reference↗projects.propublica.orgReporting · reference↗re-aim.orgReporting · reference↗repository.upenn.eduReporting · reference↗scaledinnovation.comReporting · reference↗sciencedirect.comReporting · reference↗se.mathworks.comReporting · reference↗seedtable.comReporting · reference↗store.convergenceinc.comReporting · reference↗tryspecter.comReporting · reference↗turbmodels.larc.nasa.govReporting · reference↗www-sre.wu.ac.atReporting · reference↗www2.isye.gatech.eduReporting · reference↗

Still resolving: Newsroom · Official X

Funding

Latest disclosed valuationNot disclosed
Tracked capital$809.9K2 sourced rounds
DateRoundRaisedValuationLead / investorsEvidence
Dec 31, 2021Annual contributions (Form 990)$809.4K—
Not attributed
Dec 31, 2019Annual contributions (Form 990-EZ)$500—
Not attributed

What it builds

Scenario Research (AI Clarity)

A research program focused on scenario planning to explore and prepare for uncertain AI futures, including work such as AI scenario agendas and transformative-AI scenario outputs.

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Governance Research (AI Governance)

A research program that develops governance recommendations and analyzes policy levers intended to mitigate existential risk from transformative AI.

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AI Awareness

An initiatives track that aims to raise public and policymaker awareness using research-grounded educational materials and public-facing projects.

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Convergence Fellowship Program

A fellowship-oriented program that supports research projects in AI economics and governance, presented through Convergence-branded policy briefs and related reports.

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Threshold 2030

A major conference and output series on modeling AI economic futures (hosted by Convergence Analysis together with Metaculus and the Future of Life Institute).

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Key metrics

Milestones & partnerships